Published Date
1991
Editors
Eric A. Hanushek
Constance F. Citro
Publication
Washington, DC: National Academy Press
Pages
368 pages
Type
This volume, second in the series, provides essential background material for policy analysts, researchers, statisticians, and others interested in the application of microsimulation techniques to develop estimates of the costs and population impacts of proposed changes in government policies, ranging from welfare to retirement income to health care to taxes. The material spans data inputs to models, design and computer implementation of models, validation of model outputs, and model documentation.
PANEL TO EVALUATE MICROSIMULATION MODELS FOR SOCIAL WELFARE PROGRAMS
ERIC A. HANUSHEK (Chair), Department of Economics, University of Rochester
DAVID M. BETSON, Department of Economics, University of Notre Dame
LYNNE BILLARD, Department of Statistics, University of Georgia
SHELDON DANZIGER, Institute of Public Policy Studies, University of Michigan
EUGENE P. ERICKSEN, Department of Sociology, Temple University
THOMAS J. ESPENSHADE, Office of Population Research, Princeton University
HARVEY GALPER, KPMG Peat Marwick, Washington, D.C.
LOUIS GORDON, Department of Mathematics, University of Southem Califomia
KEVIN M. HOLLENBECK, W.E. Upjohn Institute for Employment Research, Kalamazoo, Mich.
GORDON H. LEWIS, School of Urban and Public Affairs, Carnegie Mellon University
ROBERT MOFFITT, Department of Economics, Brown University
GAIL R. WILENSKY, Health Care Financing Administration, U.S. Department of Health and Human Services [served until January 1990]
MICHAEL C. WOLFSON, Analyfical Studies Branch, Statistics Canada
CONSTANCE F. CITRO, Study Director
MICHAEL L. COHEN, Consultant
CHRISTINE M. ROSS, Research Associate
AGNES E. GASKIN, Administrative Secretary
CONTENTS
INTRODUCTION
DATABASES AND METHODS OF DATA ENHANCEMENT
1
Databases for Microsimulation: A Comparison of the March CPS and SIPPConstance F Citro
2
Statistical Matching and Microsimulation ModelsMichael L. Cohen
MODEL DESIGN
3
Alternative Model Designs: Program Participation Functions and the Allocation of Annual to Monthly Values in TRIM2, MATH, and MTSMConstance F. Citro and Christine M. Ross
4
DYNASIM and PRISM: Examplcs of Dynamic ModelingChristine M. Ross
COMPUTING TECHNOLOGY
5
Future Computing Environments for Microsimulation ModelingPaul Cotton and George Sadowsky
MODEL VALIDATION
6
Variance Estimation of Microsimulation Models Through Sample Reuse
Michael L. Cohen
7
Evaluations of Microsimulation Models: Literature ReviewMichael L. Cohen
8
A Validation Experiment With TRIM2Michael L. Cohen, Lynne Billard, David M. Betson, and Eugene P. Ericksen
9
Evaluating the Accuracy of U.S. Population Projection ModelsLaurence Grummer-Strawn and Thomas J. Espenshade
MODEL DOCUMENTATION
10
Documentation for Microsimulation Models: TRIM2, MATH, and HITSMKevin M. Hollenbeck